The Math of homelessness.

Our political class appears to be challenged by math and reality

LA’s officials want to build ‘perfect’ homeless shelters here and there. 60 units in the Valley ~$18 million, scheduled to open in 2026. 140 units in Venice ~$205 million, scheduled to open ???? Bonin spent $10 million to buy a 33 room Ramada Inn in his district. The number of homeless persons increases in LA County each day by a number greater than the number of beds added for homeless persons each year.

How much would it cost to house all of LA County homeless persons, assuming the current rate of >$500,000 per bed? Hint—it’s almost as much as the state collects in corporate taxes annually.

How much land would it require to build units necessary to house all of LA County homeless persons? Hint—if it were tent cities, you’d want to measure in square miles, not acres.

Oh, by the way, where is all of that open and available land?

Has anyone done any analysis to determine how many people will declare themselves homeless if they can get the California taxpayer to provide them with housing?

Has anyone done any analysis to determine how many homeless people who currently reside in other states will move here if they can get the California taxpayer to provide them with housing?

Here’s a little math puzzle to contemplate…. If a homeless person starts a fire in the Santa Monica mtns, how quickly will the fire spread given the following scenarios:

Let's contemplate the probability of a disastrous fire

On May 14, 2021 a homeless person started a brush fire in Pacific Palisades. Winds were less than 10 mph, humidity was high, ignition points were on an upsloping hillside. The fire burned over 1,100 acres. Mike Bonin wants to put a homeless encampment across the street from where the homeless person started this fire.

The threat of fire is so grave that our electrical utility providers routinely cut power during Santa Ana wind events. No one challenges the reasoning behind this action. However, our elected officials allow the homeless to camp illegally in high fire risk areas, AND THEY ARE FULLY AWARE THAT THE HOMELESS ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR 60% OF THE FIRE THAT LAFD RESPONDS TO, EQUATING TO MORE THAN 10 FIRES PER DAY.

We can make a pretty good argument that the single most important public safety initiative for 2021 and years in the future would be to ensure that no homeless persons are situated anywhere near the Santa Monica mtns during the Santa Ana fire season.

A Load of Shit

According to the U.S. Center for Disease Control, the average human produces one pound of feces per day. Simple math therefore tells us that every week, the homeless population deposits more than four tons of feces onto the gutters and sidewalks and driveways and lawns of Venice Beach residents, where they are dutifully hosed into the sewers and eventually make their way into the ocean.

The reality of being on the front lines of progressive insanity requires more than hard numbers. The homeless don’t go to the bathroom in their tents, or anywhere near their tents. They walk into the neighborhoods to relieve themselves. Consider this eyewitness account from a Venice Beach resident: People have to hose this crap down where it runs down the street to the sewer on Main Street. Westminster Elementary school serves the children of local residents. Kids pick stuff up, dogs walk in the stuff. This is all tracked into homes and classrooms. They leave bottles of urine in their yards [figure around 16 tons per week]. The only way these bottles don’t accumulate forever is because property owners have to pick them up.

Syringes left in parks and beaches is a whole separate issue.

Who's idea was it to locate the most dysfunctional persons in society on the most expensive land in the U. S.?

Explain to a laborer who is busting their butt to take care of his/her family in the Riverside area that a person who contributes nothing to society should live near the beach – paid for by his/her taxes!!!

Location Cost of 1 acre of land Avg monthly rent (1 br) for a working and taxpaying member of society Avg purchase price single family residence for a working and taxpaying member of society Contribution by a homeless person, who pays no taxes, to live in this location
Venice $3 mi + $1800 $1,800,000 $0
Santa Monica $4 mi + $2200 $2,400,000 $0
Pacific Palisades $7 mi + $2500 $2,900,000 $0
Topanga $2 mi + $2000 $1,800,000 $0
Woodland Hills $2 mi + $1400 $1,400,000 $0
Pacoima $200k + $900 $600,000 $0
Riverside / San Bernadino $15k + $700 $480,000 $0
Lancaster $12k + $560 $330,000 $0

la county map

Space - where to house them?

If every person needing housing would get their own apartment we would need 66,000+ new apartments.
For comparison MGM Grand in Las Vegas holds 6852 rooms.
Again doing some simple math, 66000/6852 = 9.6.
Yes, we would need to build 9.6 buildings in Los Angeles similar to the capacity of MGM Grand in Las Vegas.
Where would we put those buildings?

Looking at the table above one can easily conclude the only realistic options are Lancaster, Riverside and San Bernadino.

This is what 9.6 MGM Grands look like.

MGM Grand in Las Vegas
MGM Grand in Las Vegas
MGM Grand in Las Vegas
MGM Grand in Las Vegas
MGM Grand in Las Vegas
MGM Grand in Las Vegas
MGM Grand in Las Vegas
MGM Grand in Las Vegas
MGM Grand in Las Vegas
MGM Grand in Las Vegas

Another perspective.

66,000 people are close to 3/4 of the entire population of Santa Monica, Ca which has 90,000 inhabitants.

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